Supply Chain Excellence

Pilar Gamboa

D&PS Expert

Donia Rachdi

General Description

The KPI Forecast Accuracy (FA) evaluates the ability to get a visibility on customer's demand.
It is available for all GBUs currently using Dynasys or APO as Demand Planning systems.
As an input of S&OP process, reliable forecasts constitute the major way to improve the customer satisfaction via an optimized planning of operations.
The Forecast Accuracy in this dashboard is calculated based on the Final Forecast and Gross History (Actual Sales).
For a particular month, the Forecast Accuracy is calculated over the last 5 months forecast (M-1 ... M-5); allowing the possibility to evaluate the accuracy of the forecast at several periods ahead. 
Calculations:
Aggregated: Forecast Accuracy at an aggregated level =
Weighted: Forecast Accuracy taking into account the volumes delivered at the level Ship-to x DC (if any) x Material level =
Bias: Average deviation of forecast from actuals.

= Sum(FF)-Sum(GH)/Sum(GH)

Target Users

  • Global Supply Chain Managers
  • Regional Supply Chain
  • Local Supply Chain
  • Supply Chain Analyst
  • S&OP Manager
  • Purchasing Manager / Buyers
  • Supply Chain Excellence
  • Account Managers

Authorization & Rights

All the accesses must be validated by:
Supply Chain Excellence
Click here for the Access form to get access to the Global Supply Chain Dashboard.
Naming convention by Source System (Dynasys vs APO)
Global SC Dashboard
Dynasys
APO (WP1)
APO (PF1)
Actual Sales
GH / Gross History
Demand History
History
Final Forecast
FF / Final Forecast
PreSOIP Plan
Consensus Forecast

Forecast Accuracy : how does it work ? 
The forecast Accuracy is calculated at 2 levels, based on Gross History (GH) from last month :
  • at detailed level : material, Distribution Channel, Ship-to and weighted
  • at aggregated level : at the level required by the user (dynamic calculation at displayed level)
  • Snapshots : every 6th of each month, a snapshot is taken for each month in the future up to 5 months. This will allow to calculate FA for periods M-1, M-2, M-3, M-4, and M-5.








Exemple :  For June, the FA M is the picture taken the 6th of July for the month of June (to capture the changes made on June).   M-1 will the the picture taken the 6th of June for June (to capture the changes made on May).  M-2 the picture taken the 6th of May for June (to capture the changes made on April).
Technical Documentation
Source:
  • DYNASYS / APO (WP1) / APO (PF1) - QV_BW_QRY_MVDYN11_0005
Update:
Daily
Technical BW Documentation
BW - DP - Forecast Accuracy (Core Query)
Dimensions:
Global Overview of Dimensions



Forecast Accuracy
Global Filters
Period
Month Year
Calendar Year/Month [0CALMONTH]
Organization
GBU
BFC GBU [CPFCTR1_2]
Group of Activity
BFC Group of activ [C_DYN_010__CPFCTR2_2]
Sub-Activity
BFC Activity 1 [0G_CWWE01_C_MAGNITU]
Company
[C_DYN_018__C_COMPCDE] Company code
Plant
Zone
Geographie/Zone [C_DYN_018__C_MPPLANT__C_GZONE]
Country
Country [C_DYN_018__C_MPPLANT__C_0COUNTRY]
Plant
Main Shipping Plant [C_DYN_018__C_MPPLANT]
Ship Destination
Zone
BFC Geographie/Zone [C_SHIPTID__C_ZONE]
Country
Country [C_SHIPTID__C_0COUNTRY]
Corporate Group
Corporate group [C_SHIPTID__C_CORPGR]
Ship Destination
Ship-to [C_SHIPTID]
Product
Product Hierarchy
Prod.hierarchy [C_MATNR2__0PROD_HIER]
Product
Com Prod / Mat Grp [C_MATNR2__C_PROD]
Bulk/Packed
N/A
Transport Mode
N/A
Specific Filters

Material Group
Material Group [C_MATNR2__C_MAT_GRP]
Material
Material [C_MATNR2]
Distribution Channel
Distribution Channel [0DISTR_CHAN]
Product Family
[C_MATNR2] Material\Attributes\[C_FMPRD] Product Family Code
Product Group (PGMI)
Product Group (PGMI) [C_DYN_005__C_GRPPGMI]
Product Line 00
[C_MATNR2] Material\Attributes\[C_LPROD] Product line 00

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